In 2017, about half of tokenized offerings were launched outside of North America, but as new decentralized technology unlocks the ability for legal and compliant secondary trading, 2018 is likely to see the pendulum swing as regulators are expected to step in and start taking enforcement actions. While this could very likely stifle the hype around token offerings, it is also likely that these precedents will help the market innovate, thrive and scale in the long term. Instead of killing the token industry, regulation and investor protection may help it mature to a point where financial institutions can adopt the technology.
While some have attempted to rebrand the ICO with terms such as STO (security token offering), IEO (initial exchange offering), TAO (tokenized asset offering), DAICO (decentralized autonomous initial coin offering), and PBICO (public blockchain initial coin offering), the old saying, “You can’t put lipstick on a pig” holds true. ICOs do not need a facelift, they need a complete structural overhaul with a commitment to transparency, integrity, and institutional adoptability.
Fortunately, these are all attributes that decentralized ledger technology is incredibly good at. Unlocking the ability to launch a token offering that provides investors with both protection through a registered securities offering and liquidity through compliant secondary trading opens the door for decentralized technology to disrupt mainstream financial markets. Over $200 Trillion USD is available globally when smart contract powered tokens are structured as compliant private placements, REITs, IPOs, Investor Coops, existing shareholder offerings, and other legal offerings. When reimagined in the context of traditional finance – these investment vehicles could increase both public investment and bring institutional investors to the table. Credibility through regulatory oversight, together with engagement by traditional exchanges and financial institutions, could open doors for the regulated global capital markets to move into decentralized financial infrastructure.
Sovereign Cryptocurrencies
Multiple countries announced plans for digital currencies in 2017. Among them, Russia announced the upcoming CryptoRuble, India pondered a CryptoRupee, Sweden discussed the eKrona, Estonia is releasing Estcoins, Venezuela is launching the Petro, and Japan plans a JCoin for 2020. Palestine, which has no sovereign currency, published a five-year digital currency timeline. The Ukraine and Israel have also announced plans to launch centralized digital currencies.
For the US economy, the biggest impact may come from China, when leaked documents showed a near-brilliant and Sun Tsu’sque strategy to separate the Asian economy from the US Dollar. According to reports, China will release a second national currency as a fiat cryptocurrency that would not replace its paper currency but run in tandem. Furthermore, part of the strategy includes using traditional North American stock exchanges to list funds that would kick-start investment into companies valued in the so-called ‘Crypto-RMB’.
While the US financial system continues to struggle decentralization, countries around the world see this as the first major economic leapfrog opportunity, perhaps in centuries. The question is no longer whether or not the global financial system will move toward sovereign cryptocurrencies but whether the global economic superpowers of today can maintain their position without taken action immediately.
While 2017 was a year of many firsts for blockchain, tokens, and distributed ledger technology as a whole, it appears to only be a small stepping stone on the path towards decentralization. It is likely that we will see major headlines in the future as nations move their chess pieces to establish themselves in the new fabric of globally distributed and decentralized financial systems.